Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.178593 0.206652 0.237648 0.274427 0.316882 0.364358 0.421494
2025-10-05 0.139417 0.178462 0.226057 0.288340 0.367729 0.465601 0.595557
2025-10-12 0.117130 0.160805 0.217800 0.297622 0.406598 0.550326 0.754614
2025-10-19 0.101387 0.147383 0.210842 0.304779 0.440419 0.629439 0.913448
2025-10-26 0.088416 0.135061 0.202595 0.307484 0.466476 0.698855 1.065227
2025-11-02 0.076686 0.122463 0.191665 0.303871 0.481510 0.752461 1.198451
2025-11-09 0.065812 0.109454 0.178085 0.293829 0.484499 0.786882 1.304596
2025-11-16 0.060217 0.103982 0.175365 0.300212 0.513572 0.864348 1.487174
2025-11-23 0.054627 0.097707 0.170415 0.301986 0.534702 0.930416 1.657376
2025-11-30 0.050341 0.093074 0.167558 0.306738 0.561017 1.007337 1.853992
2025-12-07 0.044995 0.085854 0.159284 0.300746 0.567274 1.049413 1.992329
2025-12-14 0.040676 0.079982 0.152712 0.296962 0.576838 1.097886 2.146941
2025-12-21 0.037526 0.076037 0.149402 0.299205 0.598497 1.171907 2.360377
2025-12-28 0.036169 0.075460 0.152458 0.314183 0.646628 1.301554 2.697785
2026-01-04 0.034379 0.073768 0.153092 0.324297 0.686004 1.417942 3.021267
2026-01-11 0.032512 0.071681 0.152663 0.332094 0.721337 1.529633 3.347173
2026-01-18 0.030369 0.068737 0.150108 0.335042 0.746619 1.622953 3.644034
2026-01-25 0.027850 0.064663 0.144688 0.331105 0.756417 1.684253 3.877362
2026-02-01 0.025040 0.059599 0.136552 0.320166 0.749325 1.707926 4.028575
2026-02-08 0.023844 0.058133 0.136278 0.327119 0.783721 1.827187 4.412401
2026-02-15 0.022394 0.055890 0.133979 0.329051 0.806533 1.922280 4.749605
2026-02-22 0.021277 0.054326 0.133089 0.334229 0.837591 2.039550 5.152847
2026-03-01 0.019540 0.051017 0.127672 0.327701 0.839270 2.087009 5.389058